Natural rubber consuming industries are doubtful about the Rubber Board’s high inventory projection of 307,710 tonnes as on 31st December 2010. Natural rubber traders based in Kerala also agree with the views of the consuming industry.
The projection is not very convincing, said Rajiv Budhraja, director general of Automotive Tyre Manufacturers Association.
Rubber output in the country has not shown any appreciable increase during the past few years. The board’s output and inventory projections appear to be highly inflated. The readily available stocks in the hands of growers and traders will not be more than 50,000 tonnes, said N Radhakrishnan, Advisor - Cochin Rubber Merchants’ Association.
Rubber Chemical manufacturer seek for safeguard duty
The largest manufacturer of rubber chemicals - Nocil Ltd., has asked for imposition of safeguard duty for three years on the rubber chemical, extensively used in treating natural rubber, synthetic rubber and other synthetic rubber based compounds.
Rubber prices have shot up in the domestic market, chemical intermediaries are not benefiting because many countries, including the US, China and Saudi Arabia have excess supply and lean domestic market, forcing companies in these countries to sell their material at a cheaper rate.
The Directorate General of Foreign Trade has begun investigations on pleas for anti-dumping duties on two basic organic chemicals widely used for rubber processing.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 15th January 2011 issue
Monday, January 10, 2011
Saturday, January 8, 2011
Will NR prices touch triple two figure?
India's NR output in December edged up by 0.6% to 1,01,500 tonnes as favourable weather condition allowed farmers to increase tapping. As weather is very favourable for tapping, in January 2011 NR production would be higher than the same period of previous year.
Prices of natural rubber surged to a record Rs 214.50 per kg in the domestic markets on fall in arrivals and international prices of rubber touching new highs of Rs. 239.87 on 7th January 2011.
The NR prices are further expected to go up as forecasted by Rubber4U during IRC 2010, which is expected to touch Rs. 222/- per kg.
There is a decline in arrivals of natural rubber in the domestic market, as farmers are reluctant to sell their produce on expectations of further rise in prices, as international prices of natural rubber are now ruling at around Rs 239.50 per kg, a clear gap of Rs. 15/- per kg.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 15th January 2011 issue
Prices of natural rubber surged to a record Rs 214.50 per kg in the domestic markets on fall in arrivals and international prices of rubber touching new highs of Rs. 239.87 on 7th January 2011.
The NR prices are further expected to go up as forecasted by Rubber4U during IRC 2010, which is expected to touch Rs. 222/- per kg.
There is a decline in arrivals of natural rubber in the domestic market, as farmers are reluctant to sell their produce on expectations of further rise in prices, as international prices of natural rubber are now ruling at around Rs 239.50 per kg, a clear gap of Rs. 15/- per kg.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 15th January 2011 issue
Tuesday, January 4, 2011
Increased demand will worsen supply shortage
After data showed manufacturing in the US expanded in December at the fastest pace in seven months, boosting confidence in the economic recovery and raising concern that increased demand will worsen a supply shortage. Rubber is supported by tight supplies as shipments from Thailand remain low. Supply will decline further as Thailand enters a low production period (February to April) next month.
China’s natural rubber inventories were at 66,515 tonnes, i.e. 56% lower than the previous year, which was at 1,51,832 tonnes, based on a survey of 10 warehouses.
According to Rubber Board, rubber imports by India jumped to 10,500 tonnes in December 2010 from 6,138 tonnes a year ago. Total import during April – December 2010 period is 156,608 tonnes.
Natural rubber prices have jumped to a new high at Rs. 209.50 per kg at Kottayam on concerns over supply situation which has fuelled the price rise and also a spurt in the international prices, which is currently at Rs. 226.39 per kg at Bangkok.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 15th January 2011 issue
China’s natural rubber inventories were at 66,515 tonnes, i.e. 56% lower than the previous year, which was at 1,51,832 tonnes, based on a survey of 10 warehouses.
According to Rubber Board, rubber imports by India jumped to 10,500 tonnes in December 2010 from 6,138 tonnes a year ago. Total import during April – December 2010 period is 156,608 tonnes.
Natural rubber prices have jumped to a new high at Rs. 209.50 per kg at Kottayam on concerns over supply situation which has fuelled the price rise and also a spurt in the international prices, which is currently at Rs. 226.39 per kg at Bangkok.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 15th January 2011 issue
Friday, December 24, 2010
Duty cut may not have desired impact, but supply to improve
Natural rubber consuming sector welcomed the government’s decision of reducing import duty on natural rubber to 7.5%, which would help in boosting raw material supply in the market. Looking at the price position and availability situation, it will provide much needed respite to the industry.
The government's efforts to cool down the rising natural rubber prices by lowering import duty may not yield the desired results, as consuming sector are unlikely to resort to overseas purchases, as the international prices of natural rubber is more than the domestic price. If, by adding 7.5% import duty on Rs. 223/-, the landing cost of natural rubber will be around Rs 240/- a kg. This will not be an economic proposition for the user industry.
The above scenario is going to prove the forecast made by Rubber4U, during May 2010 and also at IRC 2010, to be coming true.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 1st January 2011 issue
The government's efforts to cool down the rising natural rubber prices by lowering import duty may not yield the desired results, as consuming sector are unlikely to resort to overseas purchases, as the international prices of natural rubber is more than the domestic price. If, by adding 7.5% import duty on Rs. 223/-, the landing cost of natural rubber will be around Rs 240/- a kg. This will not be an economic proposition for the user industry.
The above scenario is going to prove the forecast made by Rubber4U, during May 2010 and also at IRC 2010, to be coming true.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 1st January 2011 issue
Thursday, December 23, 2010
NR prices at all time high and Govt cuts import duty to 7.5%
Ahead of Christmas, natural rubber prices have jumped to a new high at Rs. 207.50 per kg at Kottayam on concerns over supply situation which has fuelled the price rise and also a spurt in the international prices, which is currently at Rs. 222.58 per kg.
Trade sources said that usually prices rally ahead of Christmas and it is estimated that going by the current demand-supply situation, the price could zoom even to Rs 222 per kg.
Natural rubber prices are moving in a northward direction for the past few months due to continuous rain in Kerala, which adversely affected tapping. On the other hand rubber prices have gone up in the international market due to increase in demand from China.
According to a government statement on 23rd December, import duty on natural rubber has been cut to 7.5% for shipments up to 40,000 tonnes until 31st March 2011. The duty will be reinstated at whichever is the lower of 20% or Rs20 per kg after that date.
India has imported 143,468 tonnes of natural rubber during April-November 2010, up just 3% on a year ago.
Tyre makers had been demanding the cut in natural rubber duty for over a year as they were struggling to pass on the rise in the natural rubber price to end users.
Despite trading at a record high natural rubber is cheaper in the domestic market and the import duty cut is unlikely to prompt the user industry to sign fresh imports deals.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 1st January 2011 issue
Trade sources said that usually prices rally ahead of Christmas and it is estimated that going by the current demand-supply situation, the price could zoom even to Rs 222 per kg.
Natural rubber prices are moving in a northward direction for the past few months due to continuous rain in Kerala, which adversely affected tapping. On the other hand rubber prices have gone up in the international market due to increase in demand from China.
According to a government statement on 23rd December, import duty on natural rubber has been cut to 7.5% for shipments up to 40,000 tonnes until 31st March 2011. The duty will be reinstated at whichever is the lower of 20% or Rs20 per kg after that date.
India has imported 143,468 tonnes of natural rubber during April-November 2010, up just 3% on a year ago.
Tyre makers had been demanding the cut in natural rubber duty for over a year as they were struggling to pass on the rise in the natural rubber price to end users.
Despite trading at a record high natural rubber is cheaper in the domestic market and the import duty cut is unlikely to prompt the user industry to sign fresh imports deals.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 1st January 2011 issue
Sunday, December 19, 2010
Hearing on 10th February 2011
India, the second top consumer and fourth largest producer of natural rubber in the world, is facing a supply shortage, due to which prices of natural rubber rose to record high and is currently trading between Rs 199 & Rs. 203a kg and is believed that it would stay high till February 2011. The tyre industry, the main consumer of natural rubber, is not optimistic of any major relief in rubber prices in the year ahead.
Prices of natural rubber and crude oil have a co-relation as synthetic rubber, a substitute for natural rubber, depends on the price of crude oil. Crude oil prices have risen to around $90 a barrel, and is expected to remain firm.
But any move by the government to cut import duties on natural rubber could change the scenario. The central government’s response to demands for cutting import duty on natural rubber to 7.5% from 20%, will be one of the factor likely to impact prices early next year.
Delhi High Court has asked the central government to file its response to petitions filed by industry bodies in this regard. The case is posted for hearing on 10th February 2011.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 1st January 2011 issue
Prices of natural rubber and crude oil have a co-relation as synthetic rubber, a substitute for natural rubber, depends on the price of crude oil. Crude oil prices have risen to around $90 a barrel, and is expected to remain firm.
But any move by the government to cut import duties on natural rubber could change the scenario. The central government’s response to demands for cutting import duty on natural rubber to 7.5% from 20%, will be one of the factor likely to impact prices early next year.
Delhi High Court has asked the central government to file its response to petitions filed by industry bodies in this regard. The case is posted for hearing on 10th February 2011.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 1st January 2011 issue
Thursday, December 9, 2010
Another blow to tyre industry
Crude oil prices, which is currently at $89.08 (3:49 AM EST – 09.12.2010), seems to have upset the calculations of tyre manufacturers. The tyre companies expect an increase in overall costs, as the rising crude oil prices may make synthetic rubber more costlier, which would be another major blow to the industry.
Currently tyre industry is reeling under the impact of a sharp increase in natural rubber prices. Natural rubber prices witnessing a historic hike in the past few months, currently ruling around Rs 197-200 per kg, the price gap between NR and SR has widened, favouring increased substitution. The higher prices of NR had prompted the tyre industry to substitute it with synthetic rubber. The industry has been sourcing its total requirement of SBR through import. An increase in synthetic rubber prices could force the industry to reduce its consumption.
The tyre industry used 1.01 lakh tonnes of SBR and 91,100 tonnes of PBR during 2009-10. The average PBR prices stood at Rs 160 per kg for the quarter ending December 2010. The industry has projected it to go up to Rs 170 per kg by March 2011. The industry expects a similar increase in the SBR prices also. The average price touched Rs 120 per kg in December 2010 and are likely to move up to Rs 130 by March 2011.
Synthetic rubber will continue to hold an attraction till such time the natural rubber prices undergo a strong downward correction.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 15th December 2010 issue
Currently tyre industry is reeling under the impact of a sharp increase in natural rubber prices. Natural rubber prices witnessing a historic hike in the past few months, currently ruling around Rs 197-200 per kg, the price gap between NR and SR has widened, favouring increased substitution. The higher prices of NR had prompted the tyre industry to substitute it with synthetic rubber. The industry has been sourcing its total requirement of SBR through import. An increase in synthetic rubber prices could force the industry to reduce its consumption.
The tyre industry used 1.01 lakh tonnes of SBR and 91,100 tonnes of PBR during 2009-10. The average PBR prices stood at Rs 160 per kg for the quarter ending December 2010. The industry has projected it to go up to Rs 170 per kg by March 2011. The industry expects a similar increase in the SBR prices also. The average price touched Rs 120 per kg in December 2010 and are likely to move up to Rs 130 by March 2011.
Synthetic rubber will continue to hold an attraction till such time the natural rubber prices undergo a strong downward correction.
Read lot more in Rubber4U – 15th December 2010 issue
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