Sunday, January 26, 2014

Don’t expect much in next week


The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is scheduled to announce third quarter review of monetary policy on 28th January and is likely to maintain status quo in its monetary policy. RBI may retain the repo rate in this review even though inflation eased in December. After hiking policy rate in two consecutive policies, RBI kept key policy rates unchanged on 18th December review on expectations that wholesale and retail inflation would ease.

The Rupee, which fell sharply against the dollar on 24th January, is expected to continue its weak run next week due to the month end dollar demand, especially from oil marketing companies, coupled with global economic uncertainties. 

Global markets are facing pressure from excess supply and low demand, due to which domestic rubber futures are also moving in tandem with the international market. Duty free imports of rubber under the advance licence scheme may continue to put pressure on domestic prices. On Friday, the benchmark RSS4 grade rubber closed at `.150.50 a kg at Kottayam. RSS3 grade closed at `.142.89 a kg at Bangkok and Malaysian SMR20 closed at `.132.47 a kg. Tokyo Commodity Exchange, January 2014 futures series closed at ¥248 a kg, February at ¥243.4, March at ¥237.6, April at ¥238.1, May at ¥240 and the contract for delivery in June 2014 closed at ¥241.5 a kg. While National Multi Commodity Exchange February 2014 futures closed at `.148.20 a kg, March at `.150.51, April at `.154.02 and May at `.156.50 a kg, on Saturday.


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